Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 120.650855 137.257964 155.572779 177.311478 202.464950 230.718531 264.948001
2026-01-25 96.385604 117.945610 143.713192 176.942395 218.893352 270.402556 338.909086
2026-02-01 82.923283 106.859379 137.158089 178.651520 234.502573 307.787459 412.401476
2026-02-08 71.799530 96.373443 128.927274 175.707620 242.026674 333.907406 472.991698
2026-02-15 64.724996 89.994003 124.817880 177.017104 254.491708 367.164906 547.002147
2026-02-22 59.312348 85.083576 121.869989 179.137092 267.731136 402.402987 628.097306
2026-03-01 53.134050 78.291781 115.306666 174.852793 270.371548 421.338070 685.551240
2026-03-08 48.149905 72.704511 109.847473 171.434320 273.601163 441.054970 746.330907
2026-03-15 44.327257 68.483021 105.986359 169.972899 279.563296 465.542242 818.196791
2026-03-22 42.637438 67.420257 106.929593 176.337963 299.183996 515.306205 942.304676
2026-03-29 40.847242 65.999516 107.100238 181.310611 316.788664 563.426830 1070.251918
2026-04-05 38.192866 62.894407 104.147461 180.465302 323.692376 592.558493 1165.032310
2026-04-12 36.247610 61.057347 103.583213 184.585447 341.758770 648.005999 1329.048327
2026-04-19 33.718973 58.005351 100.656051 184.149122 351.330717 688.805872 1471.184350
2026-04-26 31.788423 55.818121 99.031333 185.932796 365.436969 740.773360 1648.045269
2026-05-03 29.415325 52.596097 95.168091 182.855707 369.097417 771.067700 1780.262167
2026-05-10 27.843146 50.713857 93.628634 184.224331 382.253837 823.975199 1977.847930
2026-05-17 26.514841 49.168875 92.575227 186.440179 397.495264 883.851942 2205.546802
2026-05-24 24.574283 46.267430 88.576264 181.962286 397.079578 906.883333 2340.584980
2026-05-31 22.909209 43.772317 85.169672 178.389717 398.274407 933.959579 2492.507703
2026-06-07 21.592739 41.869659 82.805634 176.862521 404.104119 973.467676 2688.617809
2026-06-14 21.137390 41.685315 84.000923 183.514507 430.716093 1070.688892 3078.903542
2026-06-21 20.570733 41.218943 84.546557 188.712107 454.417742 1164.215449 3481.194520